Presence is not preference.
The visibility theory predicts the brands with the most coverage get recommended most. They don't. Across 400 brands, the sheer volume of a brand's coverage shows almost no relationship with AI recommendation. What matters instead is timing — how fresh the news is, and whether the brand is entering rooms it wasn't in before. Those are the variables that move the needle. AI, like us, isn't looking for volume — it's looking for a vibe check.
THE SCIENCE — The availability heuristic at corpus scale (Tversky & Kahneman, 1973). In Ahrefs' citation analysis, web mentions were roughly 3× more predictive of AI visibility than backlinks; 84% of 25 million AI-cited links in Muck Rack's study were earned media.